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MathematicsProbability|Ages 12—14|ID: mt_GDtFU5fyUv

Generate theoretical sample spaces for single and combined events using listing, tables, and tree diagrams, and calculate theoretical probabilities as the number of favourable outcomes divided by the total number of equally likely outcomes

Mastery Evidence

  • List all 36 outcomes when rolling two dice and find P(total = 7)
  • Draw a tree diagram for two successive events and multiply along branches for combined probabilities
  • Calculate the probability of a combined event using a sample space diagram and simplify the fraction

Assessment Prompt

“Can [child] draw a tree diagram to map out all possible outcomes of a two-step probability situation — like flipping a coin and then rolling a die — and calculate the probability of any particular combination?”

Curriculum Standards4 alignments

7.SP.8Common Core State Standards for Mathematics
Find probabilities of compound events

Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.

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7.SP.8aCommon Core State Standards for Mathematics
Understand the probability of a compound event

Understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for which the compound event occurs.

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7.SP.8bCommon Core State Standards for Mathematics
Represent sample spaces for compound events

Represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as organized lists, tables and tree diagrams. For an event described in everyday language (e.g., “rolling double sixes”), identify the outcomes in the sample space which compose the event.

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KS3.Maths.Prob.4The national curriculum in England
Theoretical Sample Spaces

generate theoretical sample spaces for single and combined events with equally likely, mutually exclusive outcomes and use these to calculate theoretical probabilities

Mathematics · Key Stage 3

Prerequisites3

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